{
  "version": "1.0",
  "methodology_version": "1.0",
  "computed_at": "2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z",
  "index": null,
  "pillars": [
    { "id": "existential_risk", "name": "Existential risk", "weight": 0.25 },
    { "id": "armed_conflict", "name": "Armed conflict", "weight": 0.2 },
    { "id": "climate_biosphere", "name": "Climate and biosphere", "weight": 0.2 },
    { "id": "misallocation", "name": "Resource misallocation", "weight": 0.15 },
    { "id": "epistemic", "name": "Epistemic condition", "weight": 0.1 },
    { "id": "cooperation", "name": "Cooperation", "weight": 0.1 }
  ],
  "indicators": [
    {
      "id": "doomsday",
      "pillar": "existential_risk",
      "label": "Doomsday Clock, seconds to midnight",
      "unit": "s",
      "anchor_min": 300,
      "anchor_max": 0,
      "raw": 85,
      "as_of": "2026",
      "source_name": "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists",
      "source_url": "https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/2026-statement/",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Announced 27 Jan 2026: 85 seconds to midnight, the closest the Clock has ever been set. Down from 89 seconds in 2025."
    },
    {
      "id": "warheads",
      "pillar": "existential_risk",
      "label": "Global nuclear warhead inventory",
      "unit": "count",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 70000,
      "raw": 12187,
      "as_of": "2026",
      "source_name": "Federation of American Scientists, Nuclear Notebook",
      "source_url": "https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Nine countries held roughly 12,187 warheads as of early 2026 (military stockpile plus retired warheads awaiting dismantlement). FAS's own page states 12,321 in body text elsewhere; this uses the structured summary-table figure."
    },
    {
      "id": "conflict_deaths",
      "pillar": "armed_conflict",
      "label": "State-based conflict deaths per 100,000 people",
      "unit": "rate",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 20,
      "raw": 1.15,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP)",
      "source_url": "https://www.uu.se/en/press/press-releases/2026/2026-06-09-ucdp-record-number-of-conflicts-between-states",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "UCDP does not publish a per-100,000 rate directly. Computed here from UCDP's reported 94,700 state-based battle-related deaths in 2025 divided by approximate world population (~8.2 billion), ahead of the formal GED v26.1 dataset release. Treat as an approximation."
    },
    {
      "id": "active_conflicts",
      "pillar": "armed_conflict",
      "label": "Active state-based armed conflicts",
      "unit": "count",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 60,
      "raw": 65,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset",
      "source_url": "https://www.uu.se/en/press/press-releases/2026/2026-06-09-ucdp-record-number-of-conflicts-between-states",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "65 state-based armed conflicts in 2025, the highest number since UCDP records began in 1946. Sourced from UCDP's official summary press release; the underlying dataset file (v26.1) was not accessed directly. This is also the first indicator to exceed its own anchor_max of 60, so it now scores the maximum 100."
    },
    {
      "id": "displaced",
      "pillar": "armed_conflict",
      "label": "Forcibly displaced people, share of world population",
      "unit": "%",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 3,
      "raw": 1.4,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "UNHCR Global Trends",
      "source_url": "https://www.unhcr.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/global-trends-report-2025.pdf",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "117.8 million forcibly displaced at end-2025, about 1.4% of world population. Direct PDF fetch returned an access error; figure cross-confirmed via independent summaries of the same report but not verified against the PDF text directly."
    },
    {
      "id": "co2",
      "pillar": "climate_biosphere",
      "label": "Atmospheric CO₂, Mauna Loa monthly mean",
      "unit": "ppm",
      "anchor_min": 280,
      "anchor_max": 560,
      "raw": 429.12,
      "as_of": "2026-07",
      "source_name": "NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory",
      "source_url": "https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Raw monthly mean, July 2026. NOAA flags the most recent year of data as preliminary pending recalibration."
    },
    {
      "id": "temp_anomaly",
      "pillar": "climate_biosphere",
      "label": "Global surface temperature anomaly vs 1880–1899",
      "unit": "°C",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 4.0,
      "raw": 1.42,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "NASA GISTEMP v4",
      "source_url": "https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "NASA publishes 2025 as +1.19°C vs. its default 1951–1980 baseline. Re-based here to 1880–1899 using NASA's own table (1880–1899 mean of -0.225°C vs. 1951–1980), giving +1.42°C. This re-basing is a derived calculation, not an official NASA-published figure for this exact window."
    },
    {
      "id": "living_planet",
      "pillar": "climate_biosphere",
      "label": "Living Planet Index, 1970 = 100",
      "unit": "index",
      "anchor_min": 100,
      "anchor_max": 0,
      "raw": 27,
      "as_of": "2020",
      "source_name": "WWF Living Planet Report",
      "source_url": "https://livingplanet.panda.org/en-US/",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Latest published edition (2024 report) reports monitored wildlife populations averaging 27 on the 1970 = 100 scale, a 73% average decline. No newer edition found as of Aug 2026 (biennial cadence). Stale: underlying data runs only through 2020."
    },
    {
      "id": "mil_gdp",
      "pillar": "misallocation",
      "label": "World military expenditure as share of global GDP",
      "unit": "%",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 6,
      "raw": 2.5,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "SIPRI Military Expenditure Database",
      "source_url": "https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2026/global-military-spending-rise-continues-european-and-asian-expenditures-surge",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "World military expenditure reached 2.5% of global GDP in 2025, the highest level since 2009."
    },
    {
      "id": "mil_oda",
      "pillar": "misallocation",
      "label": "Ratio of world military expenditure to official development assistance",
      "unit": "ratio",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 20,
      "raw": 16.56,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "SIPRI Military Expenditure Database + OECD DAC",
      "source_url": "https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2026/global-military-spending-rise-continues-european-and-asian-expenditures-surge",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Computed as world military expenditure ($2,887bn, SIPRI 2025) divided by total official development assistance ($174.3bn, OECD DAC 2025, preliminary — https://www.oecd.org/en/data/insights/data-explainers/2026/04/a-historic-decline-in-foreign-aid-preliminary-2025-oda-data.html). ODA fell 23.1% year-on-year, the largest annual contraction on record; final revised 2025 ODA figures are due around December 2026."
    },
    {
      "id": "press_freedom",
      "pillar": "epistemic",
      "label": "RSF World Press Freedom global score",
      "unit": "score",
      "anchor_min": 100,
      "anchor_max": 0,
      "raw": 54.3,
      "as_of": "2026",
      "source_name": "Reporters Without Borders (RSF)",
      "source_url": "https://rsf.org/en/index",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "RSF states 2026 is the lowest average score in the Index's 25-year history but does not publish a single blended global figure as page text. This value is self-computed as the unweighted mean of all 180 published country scores on RSF's 2026 Index page — a derived figure, not a directly quoted RSF statistic."
    },
    {
      "id": "democracy",
      "pillar": "epistemic",
      "label": "V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index, population-weighted",
      "unit": "0–1",
      "anchor_min": 1,
      "anchor_max": 0,
      "raw": 0.27,
      "as_of": "2025",
      "source_name": "V-Dem Institute",
      "source_url": "https://www.v-dem.net/documents/75/V-Dem_Institute_Democracy_Report_2026_lowres.pdf",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "The population-weighted global Liberal Democracy Index for 2025 is published only as a chart image in the Democracy Report 2026, not as extractable text. Approximated here from the report's stated '30% decline from the 2003 peak of 0.39' (0.39 × 0.70 ≈ 0.27). The separately reported unweighted country average is roughly 0.37 (about 10% below its 2012 peak of 0.41)."
    },
    {
      "id": "immunisation",
      "pillar": "cooperation",
      "label": "Global DTP3 immunisation coverage",
      "unit": "%",
      "anchor_min": 100,
      "anchor_max": 0,
      "raw": 85,
      "as_of": "2024",
      "source_name": "WHO/UNICEF WUENIC",
      "source_url": "https://www.who.int/news/item/15-07-2025-global-childhood-vaccination-coverage-holds-steady-yet-over-14-million-infants-remain-unvaccinated-who-unicef",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "Global DTP3 coverage was 85% in 2024 (about 109 million infants), per the WHO/UNICEF joint 2024-revision estimates released 15 July 2025. Revised figures, not provisional."
    },
    {
      "id": "extreme_poverty",
      "pillar": "cooperation",
      "label": "World population in extreme poverty",
      "unit": "%",
      "anchor_min": 0,
      "anchor_max": 60,
      "raw": 9,
      "as_of": "2022",
      "source_name": "World Bank, $2.15/day 2017 PPP",
      "source_url": "https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/september-2024-global-poverty-update-from-the-world-bank--revise",
      "retrieved": "2026-08-12",
      "note": "9% of world population (713 million people) below $2.15/day (2017 PPP) in 2022, the latest year with a survey-based (non-nowcast) estimate on this line. September 2024 revised update. Stale: reference year is about four years old. The World Bank switched its primary poverty line to $3.00/day (2021 PPP) in June 2025 but retains this legacy series for comparability."
    }
  ]
}